地缘政治重构、能源危机加剧，双碳目标会动摇吗？

国家气候变化专家委员会副主任、中国社会科学院学部委员潘家华同样乐观。他在演讲中表示，面对2060年前实现碳中和的目标，无需压力过大。中国拥有时间差以及主动权，具有后发优势，且具备学习、复制、放大、规模化的能力。中国的碳中和时间只会提前不会推后。

潘家华指出，中国在光伏、风电、电池、电动车领域均是世界第一，但并没有相应的国际话语权，这是因为缺原创技术、缺核心技术，只有规模优势和成本优势。同时中国新能源产业不能只有硬实力，软实力也亟待建立。目前中国新能源产业在国际上发声不够，参与规则制定不够，做贡献不够，因此虽然产能第一了，但引领能力还不够。

国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心战略规划部主任柴麒敏在演讲中称，现在全球正处在十字路口上，不管是全球治理，还是技术发展方面，都出现了越来越多“小院高墙”式的俱乐部机制和技术脱钩问题。我们应该对长期趋势做一些谨慎的判断。特别是对风险有足够的分析和预期。

在此情况下，中国如何实现能源革命和经济“新增长”？柴麒敏认为，在这个过程中要做综合、全面的考量。真正站在国家利益的角度，去平衡全球性的问题，然后提出符合我们发展阶段、具有中国特色的碳中和发展战略的路线图。

Pan Jiahua, deputy director of the National Expert Committee on Climate Change and a member of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, is equally optimistic.   In his speech, he said there was no need to get too stressed about achieving carbon neutrality by 2060.  China has the time difference and initiative, has the advantage of being a late mover, and has the ability to learn, copy, enlarge and scale up.  China will be carbon neutral sooner rather than later.  

Pan Jiahua pointed out that China is No. 1 in photovoltaic, wind power, batteries and electric vehicles, but it does not have a corresponding international voice, because it lacks original technology and core technology, and only has advantages in scale and cost.   At the same time, China's new energy industry can not only have hard power, but also need to establish soft power.   At present, China's new energy industry has not spoken out enough in the world, participated in the formulation of rules, and made insufficient contributions. Therefore, although it ranks first in production capacity, its leadership ability is not enough.  

The picture  

Chai Qimin, director of the Strategic Planning Department of the National Center for Strategic Research and International Cooperation on Climate Change  

Chai Qimin, director of the Strategic Planning Department of the National Center for Climate Change Strategic Research and International Cooperation, said in a speech that the world is now at a crossroads. In both global governance and technological development, there are more and more problems of "small courtyard and high wall" club mechanism and technology decoupling.   We should make some cautious judgments about long-term trends.  In particular, there is sufficient analysis and expectation of risk.  

Under such circumstances, how can China achieve energy revolution and economic "new growth"?  Chai Qimin believes that in this process to do a comprehensive, comprehensive consideration.  Truly stand in the perspective of national interests, to balance global issues, and then come up with a roadmap of carbon neutral development strategy with Chinese characteristics in line with our stage of development.